Where the market is wrong on Barletta v Bari
Barletta meet Bari in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 2 at Stadio Comunale Cosimo Puttilli, Barletta.
Barletta rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1512. Recent form leans Barletta, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Barletta on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Barletta at 68%; double chance reads Barletta or draw 77%, Bari or draw 51%.
Barletta arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Bari, D 3-3 @ Casertana, L 1-2 @ AZ Picerno, L 0-2 @ Vado.
Bari are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Barletta, W 3-0 v Cavese, W 1-0 v Casarano, D 0-0 @ Sudtirol.
The market prices BAR at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Barletta: a 18.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
