Novara v Ospitaletto

Novara meet Ospitaletto in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 7 at Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ospitaletto, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ospitaletto on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Novara arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Ospitaletto, D 2-2 v Athletic Carpi, D 0-0 @ Lumezzane, L 0-1 v Pergolettese.

Ospitaletto are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Novara, L 0-1 v Cittadella, D 2-2 @ Athletic Carpi, W 3-0 v Juventus U23.

Ospitaletto hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Novara 0-2 Ospitaletto.

The market prices NOV at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Ospitaletto: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.