Where the market is wrong on PRO Vercelli v Desenzano Calvina
PRO Vercelli meet Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 1 at Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli.
Desenzano Calvina rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1454. Recent form leans Desenzano Calvina, 73% against 43%. Attacking output favors Desenzano Calvina on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Desenzano Calvina at 67%; double chance reads PRO Vercelli or draw 54%, Desenzano Calvina or draw 77%.
PRO Vercelli arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Desenzano Calvina, D 1-1 v Pergolettese, W 1-0 @ Pisa, L 3-4 @ Monza.
Desenzano Calvina are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ PRO Vercelli, D 0-0 @ Lecco, L 0-1 @ Scafatese, D 1-1 v Scafatese.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: PRO Vercelli 1-1 Desenzano Calvina.
The market prices PRO at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Desenzano Calvina: a 17.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
