Santa Fe v River Plate: the model read
Santa Fe meet River Plate in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana round of 16 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin, Bogota.
Santa Fe rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1489. Recent form leans Santa Fe, 71% against 48%. Attacking output favors Santa Fe on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Santa Fe at 63%; double chance reads Santa Fe or draw 75%, River Plate or draw 57%.
Santa Fe arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v America de Cali, D 0-0 v River Plate, W 2-0 v Chico, W 2-0 v Union Magdalena.
River Plate are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Velez Sarsfield, D 0-0 @ Santa Fe, W 2-0 v Argentinos JRS, L 0-1 @ Tigre.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
