Búzios v Paraty: the model read
Búzios meet Paraty in the Carioca B2 group stage - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Búzios, 47% against 32%. Attacking output favors Búzios on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Búzios arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Paraty, L 0-1 @ Barra Mansa, L 0-2 v Serra Macaense, L 0-3 @ Santa Cruz RJ.
Paraty are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Búzios, L 0-3 v Paduano, L 0-1 @ 7 de Abril, L 1-4 v Friburguense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Búzios 3-2 Paraty.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output