Mantova v Alcione: the model read
Mantova meet Alcione in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Mantova the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% MAN, 33% draw, 32% ALC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mantova on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Mantova at 52%; double chance reads Mantova or draw 68%, Alcione or draw 65%.
Mantova arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 v Ambrosiana, L 0-5 @ Frosinone, W 3-2 v Monza, W 3-0 @ Sudtirol.
Alcione are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Torino, D 0-0 @ Lumezzane, W 2-1 v Albinoleffe, D 1-1 @ Virtus Verona.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
