Where the market is wrong on Pafos v Olympiakos
Pafos meet Olympiakos in the 1. Division regular season - 2 at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pafos, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Pafos on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Pafos arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Karmiotissa, W 4-2 v Dinamo Tirana, D 1-1 @ Dinamo Tirana, D 3-3 v Red Bull Salzburg.
Olympiakos are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Nea Salamis, W 1-0 v Anorthosis, W 3-1 @ AEL, W 2-1 v Omonia Aradippou.
Pafos hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Olympiakos 2-0 Pafos.
The market prices PAF at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Olympiakos: a 16.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
