Where the market is wrong on América W v Tijuana W
América W meet Tijuana W in the Liga MX Femenil regular season - 5 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
América W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1822 to 1535. Recent form leans América W, 93% against 53%. Attacking output favors América W on expected goals, 3.7 to 1.8 per match.
América W arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 28 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Tijuana W, W 7-0 @ Necaxa W, W 5-1 v Puebla W, W 10-0 v Cruz Azul W.
Tijuana W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ América W, L 0-2 @ Atlas W, W 5-1 v Necaxa W, L 1-2 @ Atlético San Luis W.
América W hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: América W 3-1 Tijuana W.
The market prices AMÉ at 88% implied. Our number sits apart on Tijuana W: a 17.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
