Metropolitan v North Leeward: the model read
Metropolitan meet North Leeward in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield round of 16. The model makes Metropolitan the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% MET, 26% draw, 27% NOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1584 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Metropolitan on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Metropolitan at 64%; double chance reads Metropolitan or draw 73%, North Leeward or draw 53%.
Metropolitan arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Helenites, W 4-0 v North Leeward, L 0-1 v Atlético Pantoja, W 2-0 v SWA Sharks.
North Leeward are patchy: 1W-0D-1L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Metropolitan, W 3-1 v Eagles.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output