Where the market is wrong on Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah meet Al Riyadh in the Pro League regular season - 5 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah.
Al-Ahli Jeddah rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans Al-Ahli Jeddah, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Al-Ahli Jeddah on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Al-Ahli Jeddah arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC, L 1-3 @ Al Kholood, W 1-0 v Auckland, W 4-0 v Abha.
Al Riyadh are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v NEOM, D 3-3 @ Al Shabab, L 0-4 v Al-Nassr, W 2-0 @ Al Zulfi.
Al-Ahli Jeddah hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
The market prices AL- at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Riyadh: a 17.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
