Abha v Al-Ettifaq

Abha meet Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League regular season - 5 at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Abha, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Al-Ettifaq on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.

Abha arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Al-Fayha, D 1-1 v Al Khaleej Saihat, L 0-4 @ Al-Ahli Jeddah, D 0-0 @ Al Orubah.

Al-Ettifaq are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Al Diriyah, L 2-3 v Al-Nassr, W 1-0 @ Al-Fateh, L 0-1 @ Al Jabalain.

Al-Ettifaq hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Al-Ettifaq 3-0 Abha.

The market prices ABH at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Abha: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.