Al-Hazm v Al Shabab

Al-Hazm meet Al Shabab in the Pro League regular season - 4 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al Shabab on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Al-Hazm arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Al Shabab, L 2-3 @ Al-Ittihad FC, L 0-1 v Al Diriyah, W 3-2 @ Al Bukayriyah.

Al Shabab are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Al-Hazm, D 3-3 v Al Riyadh, D 0-0 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, L 2-3 @ Al Wehda Club.

Al Shabab hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Hazm 1-1 Al Shabab.

The market prices AL- at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Al-Hazm: a 9.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.