Where the market is wrong on Al Kholood v Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Kholood meet Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League regular season - 4 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass.
Al-Ahli Jeddah rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1431. Recent form leans Al-Ahli Jeddah, 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors Al-Ahli Jeddah on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Al Kholood arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Al-Ahli Jeddah, D 1-1 @ Al Diriyah, W 3-2 v Al Taawon, W 5-0 @ Jeddah Club.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC, L 1-3 @ Al Kholood, W 1-0 v Auckland, W 4-0 v Abha.
The market prices AL at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Kholood: a 13.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
