Al-Ettifaq v Al-Nassr

Al-Ettifaq meet Al-Nassr in the Pro League regular season - 3 at EGO Stadium, Dammam.

Al-Nassr rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1477. Recent form leans Al-Nassr, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al-Nassr on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Al-Nassr at 71%; double chance reads Al-Ettifaq or draw 46%, Al-Nassr or draw 78%.

Al-Ettifaq arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Al-Nassr, W 1-0 @ Al-Fateh, L 0-1 @ Al Jabalain, W 4-2 v Al Riyadh.

Al-Nassr are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Al-Ettifaq, W 4-0 @ Al Riyadh, W 4-1 @ Al Diriyah, W 3-0 v Al-Fateh.

Al-Nassr hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Ettifaq 2-3 Al-Nassr.

The market prices AL- at 11% implied. Our number sits apart on Al-Ettifaq: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.