NEOM v Al-Qadisiyah FC

NEOM meet Al-Qadisiyah FC in the Pro League regular season - 3 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk.

Al-Qadisiyah FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1558. Recent form leans Al-Qadisiyah FC, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors Al-Qadisiyah FC on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Al-Qadisiyah FC at 65%; double chance reads NEOM or draw 53%, Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 75%.

NEOM arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al-Qadisiyah FC, W 2-0 @ Al-Faisaly FC, W 3-1 @ Al-Faisaly FC, W 2-1 v Al-Fayha.

Al-Qadisiyah FC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ NEOM, L 0-1 v Al-Ittihad FC, W 5-0 @ Al Taee, W 3-1 @ Al Shabab.

Al-Qadisiyah FC hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NEOM 0-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC.

The market prices NEO at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.