Zira v Neftchi Baku: the model read
Zira meet Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa regular season - 3 at Zira Stadium, Zira.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 68%. Attacking output favors Neftchi Baku on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Zira arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Neftchi Baku, W 3-1 v Imisli FK, W 2-0 v Safa Baku, D 1-1 v Paide.
Neftchi Baku are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Zira, W 5-0 v Araz, W 3-1 @ Sumqayıt, W 1-0 @ Dinamo Minsk.
The market prices ZIR at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Neftchi Baku: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
