Pisa v Modena: the model read
Pisa meet Modena in the Serie B regular season - 13 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa. The model makes Modena the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 24% PIS, 30% draw, 45% MOD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Modena, 45% against 16%. Attacking output favors Modena on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Modena at 65%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 55%, Modena or draw 76%.
Pisa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Pavia, L 1-2 @ Lazio, L 0-3 v Napoli, L 0-3 @ Cremonese.
Modena are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Juve Stabia, L 0-1 @ Avellino, W 2-1 v Reggiana, L 0-1 @ Monza.
Modena hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Pisa 1-2 Modena.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
