Sampdoria v Juve Stabia

Sampdoria meet Juve Stabia in the Serie B regular season - 2 at Luigi Ferraris, Genova.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Juve Stabia, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Juve Stabia on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Juve Stabia at 59%; double chance reads Sampdoria or draw 60%, Juve Stabia or draw 72%.

Sampdoria arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Juve Stabia, D 1-1 @ Cesena, L 0-2 @ Cremonese, W 2-0 @ Parma.

Juve Stabia are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sampdoria, L 0-1 @ Palermo, L 1-4 @ Frosinone, W 1-0 @ Cavese.

Juve Stabia hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sampdoria 1-2 Juve Stabia.

The market prices SAM at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Juve Stabia: a 19.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.