Täfteå v IFK Östersund: the model read
Täfteå meet IFK Östersund in the Division 2 - Norrland norrland - promotion round.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Täfteå on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.
Täfteå arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v IFK Östersund, W 2-1 @ Skellefteå, L 1-2 v IFK Luleå, L 1-2 @ IFK Luleå.
IFK Östersund are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Boden, L 1-2 @ Täfteå, W 4-0 v Gottne, W 5-0 v Skellefteå.
The market prices TÄF at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
