Bolívar v Mineros de Guyana

Bolívar meet Mineros de Guyana in the Segunda División regular season - 15. The model makes Bolívar the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% BOL, 34% draw, 29% MIN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1481 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bolívar, 47% against 30%. Attacking output favors Bolívar on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Bolívar at 57%; double chance reads Bolívar or draw 71%, Mineros de Guyana or draw 62%.

Bolívar arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Mineros de Guyana, D 1-1 @ Mineros de Guyana, W 2-0 v Petare FC, D 0-0 @ Atletico Avila FC.

Mineros de Guyana are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Bolívar, D 1-1 v Bolívar, D 1-1 @ Atletico Avila FC, L 0-1 v Marítimo.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bolívar 1-2 Mineros de Guyana.

The market prices BOL at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Mineros de Guyana: a 13.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.