Where the market is wrong on Qatar SC v Al Sadd
Qatar SC meet Al Sadd in the Stars League regular season - 2 at Qatar SC Stadium, Doha.
Al Sadd rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1489. Recent form leans Al Sadd, 66% against 48%. Attacking output favors Al Sadd on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 92%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Al Sadd at 58%; double chance reads Qatar SC or draw 57%, Al Sadd or draw 69%.
Qatar SC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-6 v Al Sadd, D 2-2 @ Al Wakrah, L 1-2 v Al-Duhail SC, W 2-0 @ Al Shamal.
Al Sadd are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 @ Qatar SC, W 3-1 v Al Ahli Doha, W 1-0 @ Trabzonspor, L 1-2 @ Sigma Olomouc.
The market prices QAT at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Qatar SC: a 13.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
