Curzon Ashton v Ashton United

Curzon Ashton meet Ashton United in the Non League Premier - Northern regular season - 8 at Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ashton United, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Ashton United on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Ashton United at 59%; double chance reads Curzon Ashton or draw 58%, Ashton United or draw 71%.

Curzon Ashton arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Cleethorpes Town, W 4-0 @ Warrington Town, L 1-2 v Guiseley AFC, D 2-2 v Bamber Bridge.

Ashton United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gainsborough Trinity, D 1-1 v Ilkeston Town, D 1-1 @ AFC Emley, W 2-0 v Whitby Town.

Ashton United hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Ashton United 2-0 Curzon Ashton.

The market prices CUR at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Ashton United: a 11.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.