Where the market is wrong on Cheshunt v St Albans City
Cheshunt meet St Albans City in the Non League Premier - Isthmian regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans St Albans City, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors St Albans City on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans St Albans City at 57%; double chance reads Cheshunt or draw 60%, St Albans City or draw 70%.
Cheshunt arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Whyteleafe, D 1-1 v Burgess Hill Town, L 0-2 @ Dulwich Hamlet, D 0-0 @ Cray Wanderers.
St Albans City are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Stanway Rovers, L 0-4 @ Ramsgate, L 0-2 v Lewes, W 2-1 @ Enfield Town.
Cheshunt hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cheshunt 2-2 St Albans City.
The market prices CHE at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
