Where the market is wrong on Formartine United v Edinburgh City
Formartine United meet Edinburgh City in the Challenge Cup group stage - 5 at North Lodge Park, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Formartine United, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Formartine United on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Formartine United arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Edinburgh City, W 3-2 v Montrose, W 3-0 v Lossiemouth, D 1-1 @ Fraserburgh.
Edinburgh City are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Formartine United, W 1-0 v Dundee United II, W 3-1 @ Kelty Hearts, W 7-3 v Stirling Albion.
Formartine United hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Formartine United 2-0 Edinburgh City.
The market prices FOR at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Edinburgh City: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
