Where the market is wrong on Juarez U21 v Pachuca U21
Juarez U21 meet Pachuca U21 in the Liga MX U21 regular season - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pachuca U21, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Pachuca U21 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Juarez U21 arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Pachuca U21, L 1-2 @ Toluca U21, D 0-0 v Club America U21, D 1-1 @ Monterrey U21.
Pachuca U21 are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Juarez U21, D 2-2 v Guadalajara Chivas U21, D 0-0 @ Atl. San Luis U21, L 0-1 v Puebla U21.
The market prices JUA at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Pachuca U21: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
