Sesvete v Dugopolje: the model read
Sesvete meet Dugopolje in the First NL regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 57%. Attacking output favors Sesvete on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Sesvete at 57%; double chance reads Sesvete or draw 70%, Dugopolje or draw 60%.
Sesvete arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Dugopolje, W 3-0 v Karlovac 1919, L 0-4 @ NK Slaven Belupo, W 1-0 v Koprivnica.
Dugopolje are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sesvete, D 1-1 v Kustosija, L 0-3 @ Orijent 1919, L 0-3 v Rudes.
Sesvete hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sesvete 1-2 Dugopolje.
The market broadly agrees with the model here, 41% implied on SES against our 40%. No meaningful edge. Discipline means passing on priced-in matches.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
