União Santarém v Academica: the model read
União Santarém meet Academica in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Academica the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% UNI, 32% draw, 38% ACA.
Academica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1443. Recent form leans Academica, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors Academica on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Academica at 56%; double chance reads União Santarém or draw 62%, Academica or draw 70%.
União Santarém arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Varzim, L 0-1 @ Amarante, D 1-1 @ CF Os Belenenses, D 1-1 v Academica.
Academica are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ FC Porto B, L 1-2 @ Tondela, L 0-2 @ Guimaraes, L 0-5 @ Torreense.
Academica hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: União Santarém 1-1 Academica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
