Harborough Town v Hereford

Harborough Town meet Hereford in the National League - North national league north - 8 at Harborough Town Community Football Ground, Harborough.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 68%. Attacking output favors Harborough Town on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Harborough Town arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Hereford, L 0-1 @ Brackley Town, W 2-1 v Marine, L 1-2 @ Hednesford Town.

Hereford are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Harborough Town, W 2-1 v Spennymoor Town, W 1-0 @ Southport, D 1-1 v Chester.

Hereford hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Harborough Town 0-3 Hereford.

The market prices HAR at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Hereford: a 10.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.