Sportfreunde Siegen v Borussia Dortmund II: the model read
Sportfreunde Siegen meet Borussia Dortmund II in the Regionalliga - West west - 11 at Leimbachstadion, Siegen. The model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% SPO, 30% draw, 30% BOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 61%. Attacking output favors Sportfreunde Siegen on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Sportfreunde Siegen at 58%; double chance reads Sportfreunde Siegen or draw 70%, Borussia Dortmund II or draw 59%.
Sportfreunde Siegen arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 20 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Eintracht Frankfurt II, L 0-1 v TuS Koblenz, W 6-0 @ Fernwald, W 6-0 v Cosmos Koblenz.
Borussia Dortmund II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Dordrecht, L 0-1 @ Vitesse, W 3-1 v Lüner SV, L 0-2 @ Wiedenbrück.
Borussia Dortmund II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sportfreunde Siegen 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
