Hessen Kassel v FSV Mainz 05 II: the model read
Hessen Kassel meet FSV Mainz 05 II in the Regionalliga - SudWest sudwest - 9 at Auestadion, Kassel. The model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% HES, 30% draw, 37% FSV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1560, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 58%. Attacking output favors Hessen Kassel on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans FSV Mainz 05 II at 53%; double chance reads Hessen Kassel or draw 63%, FSV Mainz 05 II or draw 67%.
Hessen Kassel arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Lippstadt 08, L 0-1 @ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, L 0-4 @ Dynamo Dresden, L 0-2 @ Paderborn II.
FSV Mainz 05 II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, W 2-0 @ Gau-Odernheim, W 1-0 v Progres Niederkorn, L 0-4 v Freiburg II.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: FSV Mainz 05 II 2-1 Hessen Kassel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
