Jalapa v Walter Ferretti: the model read
Jalapa meet Walter Ferretti in the Primera Division apertura - 1. The model makes Jalapa the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% JAL, 28% draw, 23% WAL.
Jalapa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1420. Recent form leans Jalapa, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors Jalapa on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Jalapa at 68%; double chance reads Jalapa or draw 77%, Walter Ferretti or draw 51%.
Jalapa arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Managua, W 1-0 v Walter Ferretti, W 3-2 v Matagalpa, L 1-3 @ Matagalpa.
Walter Ferretti are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Diriangén, L 0-1 @ Jalapa, L 0-3 @ Jalapa, D 1-1 @ Jalapa.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jalapa 1-0 Walter Ferretti.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
