Pendikspor v Bandırmaspor

Pendikspor meet Bandırmaspor in the 1. Lig regular season - 4 at Pendik Stadium, Istanbul.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors Pendikspor on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Bandırmaspor at 53%; double chance reads Pendikspor or draw 65%, Bandırmaspor or draw 68%.

Pendikspor arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Bandırmaspor, W 3-2 @ Antalyaspor, L 1-4 @ Keçiörengücü, D 2-2 v Batman Petrolspor.

Bandırmaspor are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Pendikspor, D 1-1 v Keçiörengücü, D 0-0 @ Muğlaspor, W 3-0 v İstanbulspor.

Bandırmaspor hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pendikspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor.

The market prices PEN at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Bandırmaspor: a 8.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.