Carlisle v Woking

Carlisle meet Woking in the National League regular season - 10 at Brunton Park, Carlisle.

The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1471, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Carlisle, 53% against 44%. Attacking output favors Carlisle on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Carlisle arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Woking, L 0-1 @ Eastleigh, D 1-1 v Forest Green, D 2-2 v Southend.

Woking are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 15 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Carlisle, D 0-0 v Kidderminster Harriers, D 1-1 @ Boston United, W 5-1 v Altrincham.

Woking hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Carlisle 2-5 Woking.

The market prices CAR at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Woking: a 12.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.