Where the market is wrong on Gateshead v Southend
Gateshead meet Southend in the National League regular season - 9 at Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead.
Southend rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Southend, 63% against 28%. Attacking output favors Southend on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.1 per match.
Gateshead arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 v Southend, L 0-1 @ Kidderminster Harriers, L 0-4 @ Forest Green, L 1-3 v Derby County U21.
Southend are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Gateshead, W 3-1 v Tamworth, D 2-2 @ Carlisle, W 3-2 v Yeovil Town.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gateshead 1-6 Southend.
The market prices GAT at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Gateshead: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
