Real Betis v Lyon

Real Betis meet Lyon in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Real Betis the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% REA, 29% draw, 34% LYO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Lyon on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Real Betis at 52%; double chance reads Real Betis or draw 66%, Lyon or draw 63%.

Real Betis arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Granada CF, W 1-0 @ Recreativo Huelva, W 3-0 @ Sportfreunde Lotte, W 2-1 v Levante.

Lyon are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ VfL Wolfsburg, L 0-2 @ Slavia Praha, W 2-1 v Servette FC, W 6-3 v FC ST. Gallen.

Real Betis hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Real Betis 2-0 Lyon.

The market prices REA at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.