Where the market is wrong on Van v Shirak
Van meet Shirak in the Premier League regular season - 5 at Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 24% against 32%. Attacking output favors Shirak on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.7 per match.
Van arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Shirak, D 1-1 v Syunik, L 0-2 @ Ararat-Armenia, L 0-3 @ Pyunik Yerevan.
Shirak are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Van, L 0-1 v FC Urartu, W 1-0 @ Gandzasar, L 3-4 v FC Noah.
Van hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Van 0-4 Shirak.
The market prices VAN at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
