Durango v Mineros de Zacatecas: the model read
Durango meet Mineros de Zacatecas in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 11 at Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 57%, with the full read 57% DUR, 25% draw, 18% MIN.
Durango rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1466. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 45%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 76%; double chance reads Durango or draw 82%, Mineros de Zacatecas or draw 43%.
Durango arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.
Mineros de Zacatecas are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 9 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Correcaminos Uat, L 0-4 @ Atletico San Luis, L 1-3 v FC Juarez, L 4-7 @ Leon.
Durango hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 Durango.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
