Ynyshir Albions v Trethomas Bluebirds

Ynyshir Albions meet Trethomas Bluebirds in the FAW Championship south - 9.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 39%. Attacking output favors Trethomas Bluebirds on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.

Ynyshir Albions arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Trethomas Bluebirds, D 2-2 @ Carmarthen Town, D 0-0 @ Afan Lido, W 1-0 @ Newport City.

Trethomas Bluebirds are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ynyshir Albions, D 2-2 v Caerphilly Athletic, W 3-2 @ Carmarthen Town, W 5-2 v Afan Lido.

Trethomas Bluebirds hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ynyshir Albions 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds.

The market prices YNY at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.