FC Sochi v Nizhny Novgorod

FC Sochi meet Nizhny Novgorod in the First League regular season - 10 at Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1625, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nizhny Novgorod, 66% against 57%. Attacking output favors Nizhny Novgorod on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

FC Sochi arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Dinamo St. Petersburg, L 0-1 v Nizhny Novgorod, W 2-1 v Chelyabinsk, W 3-2 @ KAMAZ.

Nizhny Novgorod are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dinamo Stavropol, W 1-0 @ FC Sochi, D 2-2 v Volga Ulyanovsk, W 4-2 v Ska-khabarovsk.

Nizhny Novgorod hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Sochi 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod.

The market prices FC at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Nizhny Novgorod: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.