Where the market is wrong on Feirense v Sporting CP B
Feirense meet Sporting CP B in the Segunda Liga regular season - 5 at Estadio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 35%. Attacking output favors Sporting CP B on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Feirense arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Sporting CP B, L 0-2 @ AVS, L 0-1 v FC Porto B, L 0-1 @ Academica.
Sporting CP B are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Feirense, W 2-1 v Farense, L 0-2 @ Penafiel, W 1-0 v Chaves.
The market prices FEI at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
