FC St. Pauli v SpVgg Greuther Fürth: the model read
FC St. Pauli meet SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 1 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg. The model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 29% FC , 29% draw, 42% SPV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors SpVgg Greuther Fürth on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 59%; double chance reads FC St. Pauli or draw 58%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw 71%.
FC St. Pauli arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v HNK Gorica, W 4-1 @ SV Babelsberg 03, W 3-1 @ Kickers Emden, W 6-2 @ Altona 93.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ FC Zurich, W 3-1 @ Eintracht Bamberg, W 3-0 @ Eltersdorf, L 0-1 @ Bayreuth.
FC St. Pauli hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-1 FC St. Pauli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
