Where the market is wrong on Colwyn Bay v Haverfordwest County AFC
Colwyn Bay meet Haverfordwest County AFC in the Premier League regular season - 11 at Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Colwyn Bay, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Colwyn Bay on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Colwyn Bay arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Haverfordwest County AFC, W 5-2 v Barry Town, W 5-0 @ Holywell, W 2-1 v GAP Connah S Quay FC.
Haverfordwest County AFC are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Colwyn Bay, W 1-0 v Holywell, W 3-1 v Briton Ferry, D 1-1 @ GAP Connah S Quay FC.
Haverfordwest County AFC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colwyn Bay 1-0 Haverfordwest County AFC.
The market prices COL at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Haverfordwest County AFC: a 16.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
