Barry Town v GAP Connah S Quay FC

Barry Town meet GAP Connah S Quay FC in the Premier League regular season - 11 at Jenner Park, Barry.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 65%. Attacking output favors Barry Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Barry Town arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v GAP Connah S Quay FC, L 2-5 @ Colwyn Bay, D 2-2 v Ammanford AFC, W 4-1 v Llandudno.

GAP Connah S Quay FC are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Barry Town, W 1-0 v Cardiff MET, W 3-0 v Airbus UK, L 1-2 @ Colwyn Bay.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Barry Town 1-4 GAP Connah S Quay FC.

The market prices BAR at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Barry Town: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.