Where the market is wrong on Haverfordwest County AFC v Holywell
Haverfordwest County AFC meet Holywell in the Premier League regular season - 10 at Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Haverfordwest County AFC, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Holywell on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Haverfordwest County AFC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Briton Ferry, D 1-1 @ GAP Connah S Quay FC, W 2-1 v Trefelin, L 0-2 @ Llandudno.
Holywell are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v Colwyn Bay, L 1-2 @ Cambrian & Clydach, D 1-1 v Trefelin, L 2-6 @ Airbus UK.
The market prices HAV at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Holywell: a 17.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
