Briton Ferry v Trefelin

Briton Ferry meet Trefelin in the Premier League regular season - 10 at Old Road, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 45%. Attacking output favors Trefelin on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.

Briton Ferry arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Penybont, L 1-3 @ Haverfordwest County AFC, L 0-2 v Airbus UK, L 1-4 v Barry Town.

Trefelin are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Cambrian & Clydach, L 0-1 v Penybont, D 1-1 @ Holywell, L 1-2 @ Haverfordwest County AFC.

Briton Ferry hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Trefelin 0-2 Briton Ferry.

The market prices BRI at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Trefelin: a 21.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.