Where the market is wrong on Holywell v Colwyn Bay
Holywell meet Colwyn Bay in the Premier League regular season - 9 at Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell.
Colwyn Bay rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1408. Recent form leans Colwyn Bay, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Holywell on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Holywell arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v Colwyn Bay, L 1-2 @ Cambrian & Clydach, D 1-1 v Trefelin, L 2-6 @ Airbus UK.
Colwyn Bay are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Holywell, W 2-1 v GAP Connah S Quay FC, L 0-1 @ Penybont, W 2-0 v Llandudno.
Colwyn Bay hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Holywell 0-5 Colwyn Bay.
The market prices HOL at 11% implied. Our number sits apart on Holywell: a 15.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
