FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen: the model read
FSV Mainz 05 meet Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga regular season - 7 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 1.9 per match.
FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.
Werder Bremen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v RB Leipzig, L 1-4 @ SC Freiburg, W 3-0 @ Lüneburger SK Hansa, L 0-1 v Auxerre.
Werder Bremen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
