Skip to content
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt

· Mewa Arena, Mainz

分享
比赛预览

The Bundesliga season is only two matches old, but the early narrative at the Mewa Arena is one of starkly contrasting fortunes. FSV Mainz 05, under U. Fischer, have taken four points from their opening two league games without conceding a goal. A commanding 5-0 victory away at Hamburger SV was followed by a goalless draw at home to SC Paderborn 07, setting up this first home derby of the campaign as a genuine test of their solid start.

Mainz’s pre-season form suggested a side finding its rhythm, with comfortable friendly wins over Paris FC and Bournemouth either side of a 3-3 draw with Udinese, and they carried that momentum into the DFB-Pokal with a 9-0 rout of lower-league Krieschow. Their start has been built on defensive organisation and attacking efficiency, yet the goalless draw with Paderborn will remind Fischer that converting control into goals remains a work in progress.

Eintracht Frankfurt arrive in Mainz with a more turbulent recent history. Adi Hutter’s side opened their league account with a 3-3 draw at Union Berlin, a result that spoke of both attacking intent and defensive fragility. That fragility was exposed severely in their latest outing, a 4-1 home defeat to FC Augsburg that leaves them with a single point and a need to correct course quickly. Their cup run began with an 11-0 dismantling of SC St. Tönis, yet the memory of a 7-0 friendly loss to Brentford lingers as evidence of how vulnerable they can be when pressed.

The head-to-head record between these two clubs is not available in the data, leaving the recent form of each side as the primary guide. Frankfurt’s away days have been particularly difficult, with their only competitive away result this season being the draw in Berlin and the heavy defeat in the Brentford friendly. Mainz, by contrast, have shown they can win on the road in the league but are still seeking their first home victory of the season in front of their own supporters.

What this fixture lacks in historical context it makes up for in present urgency. Mainz will aim to protect their unbeaten league record and establish the Mewa Arena as a fortress, while Frankfurt will be determined to respond to their Augsburg setback and avoid slipping further behind the early pace. The early September kickoff offers a fresh start after the international break, and the Rhineland rivalry, though not statistically documented here, carries its own weight in regional pride.

Both coaches will demand sharper finishing and sturdier defending, but the outcome remains entirely open. The scene is set for an intriguing afternoon in Mainz, where a compact home side meeting a wounded away team often produces a contest of fine margins and high tension.

比赛分析赛前简报

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.8 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

Eintracht Frankfurt are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 20 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v FC Augsburg, D 3-3 @ Union Berlin, W 11-0 @ SC St. Tönis, L 0-7 @ Brentford.

Eintracht Frankfurt hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.

The market prices FSV at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on FSV Mainz 05: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

您的预测

预测结果和比分。大众分歧为Lemeister人类网络信号提供数据。

成为首个预测者。

登录以锁定您的预测。 登录

Pro

The model forecast是Pro功能。

实时比分、统计和评论始终免费。玻璃盒模型(概率、相对于市场的优势以及完整比赛材料)在Pro中解锁。

查看计划

FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

进球 3.25 · 失球 1.00 · 零封 50% · 两队均得分 40%

  • W客场Hamburger SV5-0
  • D主场SC Paderborn 070-0
  • W客场Krieschow9-0
  • W主场Bournemouth2-1
  • W主场Paris FC4-0

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLWDL9-5-6

进球 2.80 · 失球 1.75 · 零封 30% · 两队均得分 65%

  • L主场FC Augsburg1-4
  • D客场Union Berlin3-3
  • W客场SC St. Tönis11-0
  • L客场Brentford0-7
  • W客场FSV Frankfurt5-1

历史交锋

10 次交锋

FSV Mainz 05记录Eintracht Frankfurt
2
4
4 场平局

进球数

10-13

每队

场均进球

2.3

每场

双方进球

60%

两队均进球

大2.5

40%

3+球

FSV Mainz 05

近期
WLDWLD
胜 2进球 10-13

最大胜利 3-1

Eintracht Frankfurt

近期
LWDLWD
胜 4进球 13-10

最大胜利 3-0

  • FSV Mainz 052-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-3FSV Mainz 05
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt3-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 052-2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 050-1Eintracht Frankfurt

教练

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

自 2025 年起执教 · 5 支执教球队

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

Adi Hutter

主教练

自 2026 年起执教

导出制品

可分享的制品

卡片

MeisterIQ、四大模型输入、模型对比市场及优势

格式

解锁高清无品牌
分享

仅显示真实数据:近期战绩、交锋记录和市场赔率。无 Lemeister 先验数据的球队不显示模型输出。