Where the market is wrong on Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn 07
Borussia Dortmund meet SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 70%. Attacking output favors Borussia Dortmund on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Borussia Dortmund arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ HEBC, W 2-0 v Hamburger SV, L 1-2 v Bayern München, D 2-2 v AS Roma.
SC Paderborn 07 are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FSV Mainz 05, W 4-2 @ Phönix Lübeck, D 2-2 @ Werder Bremen, W 2-0 @ VfL Osnabrück.
Borussia Dortmund hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 SC Paderborn 07.
The market prices BOR at 77% implied. Our number sits apart on SC Paderborn 07: a 25.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
