1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund: the model read
1899 Hoffenheim meet Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga regular season - 2 at SNP Arena, Sinsheim.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Borussia Dortmund, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Borussia Dortmund on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
1899 Hoffenheim arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ 1. FC Köln, W 4-0 @ Erzgebirge Aue, D 2-2 @ Tottenham, L 0-3 @ Tottenham.
Borussia Dortmund are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ HEBC, W 2-0 v Hamburger SV, L 1-2 v Bayern München, D 2-2 v AS Roma.
The market prices 189 at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Borussia Dortmund: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
